Jun 092021
 

Glenn Kirschner – DOJ Holds Press Conference on Colonial Pipeline Case – Remains Silent on Insurrection Investigation (Glenn’s frustration is showing – not least in that he [I assume accidentally] allowed his ending to also start this video.)

Meidas touch – We saw this ad when it posted to their YouTube channel – I of course included it in this thread at the time. Now push has come to shove.

The Lincoln Project – Trump’s North Carolina Speech In 70 Seconds

Lakota Peoples Law – latset DAPL decision (not good)

Jim Acosta – Mar-a-Lagoville. He does have a way with words.

Rob Rogers – Race Massacres

Beau – Let’s talk about Trump running for the House and the speaker’s bargain….

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Jun 082021
 

My mechanic and I (I say “my mechanic,” but it’s actually a team) are in consensus that a new battery was needed, so I am calling and emailing around to find one that can be delivered. I’m ot committed as yet, but it’s still a relief to feel that I know what I need to do and have started doing it.

 

Cartoon

Short Takes

The Borowitz Report – Putin Says He Has No Intention of Reinstating Trump
MOSCOW (The Borowitz Report)—Calling recent speculation “absurd,” Vladimir Putin said that he has “no intention whatsoever” of reinstating Donald J. Trump as President of the United States.
Speaking to reporters, the Russian President bristled at the suggestion that he would reinstall Trump in the White House “this August or any other month, for that matter.”
Click through for details. I certainly hope this is straight news!

MSNBC – The GOP’s base is preparing for a holy war — and Democrats need to pay attention
Yes, another opinion piece – one which it’s hard to disagree with if one is paying attention and is honest. Quote:
The sentiments that these Republicans share differ at times in the particulars — not all believe, for example, that the Democratic Party is a front for blood-drinking, Satanic pedophilia, but many do…. If one believes a priori that one’s opponents are thieves, would-be totalitarians, drinkers of children’s blood, wresting back power becomes in and of itself a moral imperative, regardless of the means.
Click through for the full piece.

The New Yorker – How Nasty Was Nero, Really?
Fake news is not news. It’s been around forever. I’ve been defending Nero for a while now – along with Marie Antoinette, Richard III, and Hillary Clinton. Not one of them was guilty of the arson, murder, incest, or miscellaneous crimes he or she was accused of. Can we hope that Hillary’s reputation will fare any better than that of the other three? Here’s a quote:
Opper told me, “They had a term for it—vituperatio, or ‘vituperation,’ which meant that you could say anything about your opponent. You can really invent all manner of things just to malign that character. And that is exactly the kind of language and stereotypes we find in the source accounts.”
Click through for details. Why is it relevant now? Well, look what Qpublicans are saying about us.

Food for Thought:

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May 132021
 

Glenn Kirschner on Liz Cheney’s Ouster

Meidas Touch – The Rules of the Demagogue

Don Winslow – Party of the Insane

Now This News – Critical Race Theory. People who think they are Christians seem to forget (if indeed they ever know) that Jesus came not only to comfort the afflicted, but also to afflict the comfortable.

Robert Reich – Yes, I worry too.

Something – um – different from Titus.

Beau on labor shortages. (Seeing as in my state, unemployment is capped at 75% of what you were making at the job you lost, if there are no other jobs available that pay more than that, you are going to be hurting no matter what you do.)

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Apr 152021
 

The Lincoln Project – Rally Recap

Crooks & Liars – “Socialist” CEO gets last laugh

Really American – Sadly needs to be said.

Frankly, I cannot see John Cornyn having the ability to even find this article. A staffer must have found it. Did the staffer tell him it was satirical? There are multiple scenarios possible here, none of which looks good for Cornyn. (Ms. Clarke has been nominated to head the DOJ Civil Rights Division.)

Now This News (personally, I needed a hanky)

This is your brain on kittens

Beau – I don’ want to spoil it, but you might want a hanky handy.

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Mar 192021
 

VoteVets – “Too Dangerous”

American Bridge – no surprise here.

The Damage Report – the jokes write themselves.

Justice Matters

Ring of Fire – Yup. (snicker) Well stated.

SO COOL!

Beau – Infrastructure – This is a few days old, so may already be obsolete.

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Oct 292020
 

The world is dealing with an unprecedented health crisis caused by a new virus. With new insights in the way COVID19 spreads, in the way the virus behaves and in the way to deal with the pandemic every day, it is now more important than ever to safeguard the information we share is accurate and fact-based. We have to inoculate ourselves against the fake news and misinformation that infect our newsfeeds and timelines at this crucial moment by fact-checking.*

This inoculation against misinformation is a special US election edition, put together by Ellen McCutchan, RMIT ABC Fact Check, touching on as many false coronavirus claims from both presidential candidates that could fit into this article – from the first uses of the word “pandemic” to the politically charged hydroxychloroquine debate – and weighed the facts around voting by mail.


Donald Trump’s most egregious false coronavirus claims

Reuters: Tom Brenner

Since assuming office in January 2017, US President Donald Trump has served up more than 22,000 false claims, according to the Washington Post Fact Checker, of which more than 13,000 have been related to the coronavirus pandemic.

Fact Checker uses a system of “Pinocchios” by which to judge claims – the more Pinocchios a claim is awarded, the less factual it is considered.

So, which of Mr Trump’s coronavirus claims have been deemed his biggest whoppers?

While Fact Checker usually caps the number of Pinocchios it awards to four, in cases where a false statement is repeated more than 20 times “bottomless” Pinocchios come into play, as is the case with Mr Trump’s claim (repeated 42 times) that hydroxychloroquine is a cure for COVID-19.”On June 15, [the Food and Drug Administration] withdrew its emergency use authorisation for hydroxychloroquine, concluding that it ‘is no longer reasonable to believe’ that hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine are effective in treating the disease,” the Post noted.

A claim that former President Barack Obama left behind no ventilators when he left office was awarded bottomless Pinocchios by the Post team – in fact, 16,600 working ventilators were part of the national stockpile of healthcare equipment when Mr Trump became president.

Another suggestion from Mr Trump that the Obama administration left the US unprepared for a pandemic due to “red tape” and regulations which slowed efforts to roll out testing was awarded four Pinocchios, as were comments about Mr Obama’s handling of the 2009 outbreak of swine flu.

Also earning the Post’s four Pinocchio rating was a claim – repeated 12 times in various guises by Mr Trump – that the wall being built on the Mexico border had prevented a larger outbreak of COVID-19 in the US.

“Public health experts said [the wall] made no difference because travellers from China and Europe brought the virus to the United States and it spread over following months due to lax and inconsistent public health measures inside the country,” the fact-checkers said.

 

Some of Joe Biden’s coronavirus claims were wide of the mark also

Reuters: Brian Snyder

While Mr Trump’s false coronavirus claims may number in the thousands, his opponent hasn’t been immune from spreading a few falsehoods of his own.

Fact checkers at PolitiFact found, for instance, that despite a claim from Democratic challenger Joe Biden to the contrary, Mr Trump could not have prevented every COVID-19 death in the US had he “done his job from the beginning”.

“A more robust handling of the pandemic would likely have seen the country’s death count significantly reduced, but not to zero,” public health experts told PolitiFact.

The publication also found Mr Biden had exaggerated remarks made by Mr Trump in regards to curing COVID-19. While Mr Biden claimed Mr Trump had told Americans infected with the virus they “may be OK” if they drank bleach, the fact -heckers reported that the President was less explicit in his suggestion.

“Trump did not specifically recommend ingesting disinfectants, but he did express interest in exploring whether disinfectants could be applied to the site of a coronavirus infection inside the body, such as the lungs,” they reported.

FactCheck.org, meanwhile, delved into the archives in order to revisit Mr Biden’s early statements on the coronavirus pandemic.

In one example, the fact-checkers found that a claim made by Mr Biden in September, that he had labelled the coronavirus crisis a pandemic as early as January, was an exaggeration of a warning he issued that the virus could turn into a pandemic.

According to FactCheck.org, Mr Biden also exaggerated how early he had taken a stance on the use of face masks to curb the spread of the virus.

“We couldn’t find any instances of Biden ‘all the way back in March … calling for the need for us to have masks’, as he claimed.”

Finally, the fact-checkers found that a claim made by Mr Biden during the Democratic National Convention that the US response to the pandemic was “by far the worst performance of any nation on Earth” was missing context. Using figures available at the time of the claim in August, FactCheck.org concluded that while Mr Biden’s claim was “true based on the raw totals of COVID-19 cases and deaths, the US is not the worst when adjusted for population or on other metrics”.

The facts on mail-in voting

AP: Rich Pedroncelli

Elections in the midst of a global pandemic are a fraught exercise, perhaps especially in the US, where the notion of swathes of voters attending polling stations while the country records more than 60,000 new daily cases of COVID-19 seems downright dangerous.

Voting by mail might seem like an obvious solution, but for many states it’s not that clear cut.

Some states, such as Arizona, will allow anyone to vote by mail, should they request to do so. Others, including California, have sent a mail-in ballot to all registered voters, regardless of whether they requested one. In states like Indiana, however, voters must provide a reason, such as illness, as to why they can’t make it to the polling booth on election day, while in Wisconsin, a witness is required for voters marking their mail-in ballot.

With up to 50 per cent of votes expected to be cast by mail in next week’s election, Mr Trump has, throughout his campaign, issued a steady stream of claims as to the validity and security of such voting. But what do the fact checkers say?

Back in September, FactCheck.org compiled a list of Mr Trump’s repeated false claims about mail-in voting.

They ruled as false a claim that “millions of mail-in ballots will be printed by foreign countries” leading to a “rigged” election, given the “numerous logistical hurdles”, such as bar codes and signature checks, that would need to be jumped in order to get large numbers of fake ballots past the scrutiny of election officials.

“After [FactCheck.org’s] story, US intelligence officials in a background briefing with reporters said they have not seen any foreign attempts to counterfeit mail-in ballots,” the fact checkers said.

Another Trump claim, that the Democratic Party had sent out 80 million unsolicited ballots in order to “harvest” votes, was likewise found to be false.

“Mail ballots will be sent automatically to eligible registered voters in only nine states and the District of Columbia,” FactCheck.org said. “That’s about 44 million ballots – not 80 million – and they will be going to Republicans as well as Democrats and independents.”

More recently, a tweet from Mr Trump claiming there had been “big problems and discrepancies with mail-in ballots all over the US” was this week labelled by Twitter as containing “disputed” content which may be “misleading”.

“While mail-in ballots have proved to be secure and are already used broadly in several states, the President has issued false and misleading information about the process,” Politico reported, in reference to the label.

Meanwhile, a Facebook post claiming Mr Trump had already voted twice in the election was deemed false by PolitiFact.

“Trump voted in person at a library in Palm Beach County Oct. 24,” the fact checkers said. “The Supervisor of Elections said he did not vote twice in the general election.”

compiled by gaming website Polygon

 

*The facts in this article are derived from the Australian RMIT ABC Fact-check newsletters which in turn draw on their own resources and those of their colleagues within the International Fact-Checking Network (IFCN), of which RMIT ABC Fact-check is a member.

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Everyday Erinyes #237

 Posted by at 10:19 am  Politics
Oct 242020
 

Experts in autocracies have pointed out that it is, unfortunately, easy to slip into normalizing the tyrant, hence it is important to hang on to outrage. These incidents which seem to call for the efforts of the Greek Furies (Erinyes) to come and deal with them will, I hope, help with that. As a reminder, though no one really knows how many there were supposed to be, the three names we have are Alecto, Megaera, and Tisiphone. These roughly translate as “unceasing,” “grudging,” and “vengeful destruction.”

The Furies and I have discussed “deepfakes” before. it’s a highly technical subject, but olnly at our peril do we dismiss it as bening “too hard.” Because we are all vulnerable, and the more we know, the better we can defend ourselves against – whatever.
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In a battle of AI versus AI, researchers are preparing for the coming wave of deepfake propaganda

AI-powered detectors are the best tools for spotting AI-generated fake videos.
The Washington Post via Getty Images

John Sohrawardi, Rochester Institute of Technology and Matthew Wright, Rochester Institute of Technology

An investigative journalist receives a video from an anonymous whistleblower. It shows a candidate for president admitting to illegal activity. But is this video real? If so, it would be huge news – the scoop of a lifetime – and could completely turn around the upcoming elections. But the journalist runs the video through a specialized tool, which tells her that the video isn’t what it seems. In fact, it’s a “deepfake,” a video made using artificial intelligence with deep learning.

Journalists all over the world could soon be using a tool like this. In a few years, a tool like this could even be used by everyone to root out fake content in their social media feeds.

As researchers who have been studying deepfake detection and developing a tool for journalists, we see a future for these tools. They won’t solve all our problems, though, and they will be just one part of the arsenal in the broader fight against disinformation.

The problem with deepfakes

Most people know that you can’t believe everything you see. Over the last couple of decades, savvy news consumers have gotten used to seeing images manipulated with photo-editing software. Videos, though, are another story. Hollywood directors can spend millions of dollars on special effects to make up a realistic scene. But using deepfakes, amateurs with a few thousand dollars of computer equipment and a few weeks to spend could make something almost as true to life.

Deepfakes make it possible to put people into movie scenes they were never in – think Tom Cruise playing Iron Man – which makes for entertaining videos. Unfortunately, it also makes it possible to create pornography without the consent of the people depicted. So far, those people, nearly all women, are the biggest victims when deepfake technology is misused.

Deepfakes can also be used to create videos of political leaders saying things they never said. The Belgian Socialist Party released a low-quality nondeepfake but still phony video of President Trump insulting Belgium, which got enough of a reaction to show the potential risks of higher-quality deepfakes.

University of California, Berkeley’s Hany Farid explains how deepfakes are made.

Perhaps scariest of all, they can be used to create doubt about the content of real videos, by suggesting that they could be deepfakes.

Given these risks, it would be extremely valuable to be able to detect deepfakes and label them clearly. This would ensure that fake videos do not fool the public, and that real videos can be received as authentic.

Spotting fakes

Deepfake detection as a field of research was begun a little over three years ago. Early work focused on detecting visible problems in the videos, such as deepfakes that didn’t blink. With time, however, the fakes have gotten better at mimicking real videos and become harder to spot for both people and detection tools.

There are two major categories of deepfake detection research. The first involves looking at the behavior of people in the videos. Suppose you have a lot of video of someone famous, such as President Obama. Artificial intelligence can use this video to learn his patterns, from his hand gestures to his pauses in speech. It can then watch a deepfake of him and notice where it does not match those patterns. This approach has the advantage of possibly working even if the video quality itself is essentially perfect.

SRI International’s Aaron Lawson describes one approach to detecting deepfakes.

Other researchers, including our team, have been focused on differences that all deepfakes have compared to real videos. Deepfake videos are often created by merging individually generated frames to form videos. Taking that into account, our team’s methods extract the essential data from the faces in individual frames of a video and then track them through sets of concurrent frames. This allows us to detect inconsistencies in the flow of the information from one frame to another. We use a similar approach for our fake audio detection system as well.

These subtle details are hard for people to see, but show how deepfakes are not quite perfect yet. Detectors like these can work for any person, not just a few world leaders. In the end, it may be that both types of deepfake detectors will be needed.

Recent detection systems perform very well on videos specifically gathered for evaluating the tools. Unfortunately, even the best models do poorly on videos found online. Improving these tools to be more robust and useful is the key next step.

[Get facts about coronavirus and the latest research. Sign up for The Conversation’s newsletter.]

Who should use deepfake detectors?

Ideally, a deepfake verification tool should be available to everyone. However, this technology is in the early stages of development. Researchers need to improve the tools and protect them against hackers before releasing them broadly.

At the same time, though, the tools to make deepfakes are available to anybody who wants to fool the public. Sitting on the sidelines is not an option. For our team, the right balance was to work with journalists, because they are the first line of defense against the spread of misinformation.

Before publishing stories, journalists need to verify the information. They already have tried-and-true methods, like checking with sources and getting more than one person to verify key facts. So by putting the tool into their hands, we give them more information, and we know that they will not rely on the technology alone, given that it can make mistakes.

Can the detectors win the arms race?

It is encouraging to see teams from Facebook and Microsoft investing in technology to understand and detect deepfakes. This field needs more research to keep up with the speed of advances in deepfake technology.

Journalists and the social media platforms also need to figure out how best to warn people about deepfakes when they are detected. Research has shown that people remember the lie, but not the fact that it was a lie. Will the same be true for fake videos? Simply putting “Deepfake” in the title might not be enough to counter some kinds of disinformation.

Deepfakes are here to stay. Managing disinformation and protecting the public will be more challenging than ever as artificial intelligence gets more powerful. We are part of a growing research community that is taking on this threat, in which detection is just the first step.The Conversation

John Sohrawardi, Doctoral Student in Computing and Informational Sciences, Rochester Institute of Technology and Matthew Wright, Professor of Computing Security, Rochester Institute of Technology

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Alecto, Megaera, and Tisiphone, ss Mr. Sohrawardi and Prof. Wright say above, “Sitting on the sidelines is not an option.” that doesn’t mean we all need to be technical experts, but it does mean we need at least to be broadly aware of how technology is progressing and what it can do both for truth and for lies.

The Furies and I will be back.

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