Dec 242010
 

On Wednesday, I posted Action Alert: Stop the Republican Filibuzzards!, in which I discussed the need for filibuster reform.  In Yesterday’s Open Thread–12/23/2010, I added that all returning Senate Democrats have signed a letter to Harry Reid in support of considering filibuster reform.  Last Night Rachel Maddow, with columnist Gail Collins, broadcast an excellent piece on the subject.  After the video, I’ll tie up a couple loose ends.

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Tom122007_Painting_PaintingThe idea that Democrats fear changing the rules, because they may want to use the filibuster should Republicans take power.  That’s a fool’s reason.  When Democrats filibustered just a few of Bush’s most heinous nominees during the session before last, Republicans held the rules hostage and threatened a nuclear option.  Now that Republicans have made 41 votes rule the status quo when they are in the minority, changing it will be the first thing they do when they are in the majority.  The rules will change.  Take that to the bank.  The only question is whether or not Democrats will do it first to their own benefit.

The notion that all Senators would like to be like Jim Bunning once in a while could be more worrisome than Rachel and Gail seemed to think.  Changing the rules will require Senators to give up a measure of individual power.  In the process, they will gain collective power.  However, it could still be problematic in a collection of 50 of America’s biggest egos.

Finally, my thanks to Jeff Merkley (D-OR), the Senator for whose campaign I volunteered.  His persistent leadership has helped make this possible.

The 5th of January awaits.

Share
Dec 232010
 

23ObamaAs usual, I found things in Obama’s press conference with which I agree and those with which I don’t.  I still think Republicans caved on START and the 9/11 Responders bill, because they never intended to do otherwise unless Democrats surrendered again.  I still think that the Republicans that caved on DADT did so because support for it in their states is so strong that they feared to do otherwise.  I still thing Republicans would have caved on the tax bonus for millionaires and billionaires, had not Obama surrendered first by proposing the Tax Capitulation Act.  I do not think that the Tax Capitulation Act made the rest possible.  That said, in the last two years Obama has accomplished more sweeping legislation on more areas than any President since FDR, with the caveat that most of that legislation fell far short of what I wanted to see accomplished.  In the press conference, the ivory tower Obama was back and the campaign Obama, so evident in DADT speech, was nowhere to be seen.  Here is the entire 30 minute video, or of you prefer, click here for the transcript of Obama’s press conference.

Share
Dec 072010
 

Tom122007_Painting_PaintingMost of us were expecting Obama to cave-in on tax cuts for millionaires and billionaires, and I feel thoroughly disappointed that he did.  At the same time, I want to be fair and examine the problem from all sides.  In his capitulation speech, Obama said several things that were true.  It was clear that Republicans would not give ground.  Republicans care nothing for the suffering of middle class workers.  Had Obama held fast, as he said, millions of workers, whose real wages have gone down, over the last ten years, because of Bush/Republican policies and current Republican obstruction would get a pay cut next month.  Republicans used the unemployed as a human shield.  Republicans care nothing that many workers their policies displaced will lose their homes, be unable to provide for their families, or have their Christmas dinners in soup kitchens.  Had Obama held fast, as he said, these things would take place.  Obama was also correct, when he said that, if he held fast, the economy would lose over a million jobs, threatening the bare beginnings of a recovery.  So Obama had reasons for making the choice he made.  I believe he thinks he is doing the right thing.  I also believe he is wrong.  Let’s start with his speech.

 

And here is the breakdown of the deal:

BREAKING DOWN THE TAX CUTS

Highlights of the proposed bipartisan agreement:

 

Rates: Extends all income tax rates for two more years for all taxpayers.

 

Estates: Applies a 35 percent tax on estates worth more than $5 million.

 

Unemployment: Extends unemployment insurance for 13 months,

providing benefits to 2 million long-term unemployed workers

in December and 7 million over the next year.

Payroll: Cuts payroll taxes by 2 percentage points for 2011.

Credits: Extends increases in the Earned Income Tax Credit,

the child credit and tuition credits adopted in 2009.

Businesses: Allows businesses to write off 100 percent of their capital investments during 2011. The current write-off is 50 percent.

Inserted from <San Jose Mercury News>

The cuts for millionaires and billionaires remains totally unacceptable, as does the estate tax provision.  Extending unemployment is key, buy why only thirteen months?  When this issue comes back a year from now, what will Republicans want when they use the unemployed as a human shield again?  The payroll cut and tax credit extensions are positive elements.  If I understand it correctly, the business write-off just accelerates the deduction of 50% of capital investments by one year, so I don’t think it will matter much at all.  I have heard it said that this is the best deal he could get, and I agree that it was, but in this case, best just isn’t good enough. Though he may save many hostages from Republican terrorism, it will serve only to encourage more of the same. I’ve heard buzz that the next Republican hostage will be Doc Fix, attempting to gut Medicare and Medicaid.

The biggest consequence of this cave is the total shredding of Obama’s waning credibility.  The touch stone, around which Obama centered his campaign, was the promise to end the Bush/Republican policies that have created an ever widening gap between the super-rich and the rest of us.  I don’t consider this a betrayal.  I think of it as spinelessness.  This issue will return in the 2012 campaign.  Obama will run, once again, on ending Republican tax cuts for millionaires and billionaires.  How can we believe him after this?

Although, it may be futile, we must oppose the passage of this deal.  Fortunately, my favorite Democrat, who isn’t one, has stated his intent to filibuster.

I urge you to join me. Tell your Senators to oppose the tax cut deal!

Share
Nov 252010
 

Thanksgiving

Lord, I’m thankful for each new day, but I’m not thankful for the Tea Party.  I’m thankful that I have a roof over my head, but I’m not thankful for for the Tea Party.  I’m thankful that, though poor, I have enough food to share with those less fortunate than I, but I’m not thankful for for the Tea Party.  And I’m thankful for the friends who read and comment here, but I’m not thankful for for the Tea Party.  Why?

I’ve never seen a group of people so willing to believe the most outrageous lies without the slightest effort to fact check them, and continue to do believe them, even when confronted with proof.  Here’s an example fitting for today.

Forget what you learned about the first Thanksgiving being a celebration of a bountiful harvest, or an expression of gratitude to the Indians who helped the Pilgrims through those harsh first months in an unfamiliar land. In the Tea Party view of the holiday, the first settlers were actually early socialists. They realized the error of their collectivist ways and embraced capitalism, producing a bumper year, upon which they decided that it was only right to celebrate the glory of the free market and private property.

Historians quibble with this interpretation. But the story, related by libertarians and conservatives for years, has taken on new life over the last year among Tea Party audiences, who revere early American history, and hunger for any argument against what they believe is the big-government takeover of the United States.

It has made Thanksgiving another proxy in the debate over health care and entitlement spending, and placed it alongside the New Deal and the Constitution on the platter of historical items picked apart by competing narratives.

There are other debates about Thanksgiving — whether the first was in Jamestown, Va., or Plymouth, Mass.; whether it was intended as a religious holiday or not. But broadly, the version passed on to generations of American schoolchildren holds that the settlers who had arrived in the New World on the Mayflower in 1620 were celebrating the next year’s good harvest, sharing in the bounty with Squanto and their other Indian friends, who had taught them how to hunt and farm on new terrain… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <NY Times>

I quibble with the official version as well, because that initial harvest was not all that bountiful.  The pilgrims were not sharing their bounty with poor savages as the official account portrays.  The Native Americans went hunting and brought the meat to the feast.  Inviting a guest to Thanksgiving dinner is not an act of charity when the guest brings the turkey.  So Lord, I’m thankful that Native Americans shared their bounty with the rest of us, but I’m still not thankful for the Tea Party.

Happy Thanksgiving to you all.

Off topic: I may be sporadic for a couple days.  See today’s Open Thread.

Share
Nov 052010
 

filibuzzardsThere is a caucus of Democratic Senators.  It has no name.  Nobody admits membership.  But it is there.  We see this, because we have seen its stamp on most of the legislation that the Senate has not passed in the last two years.  It should be called the Cowardly Caucus.  Right now the Cowardly Caucus is quivering with fear over filibuster reform.  They know an overwhelming majority of the American people support it.  They know that President Obama has called for it.  They are whining, “What if moderate Democrats (DINOs) side with Republicans in an up or down vote?”  Their fears are probably correct, but I say that Democrats should proceed with filibuster reform by changing the Senate Rules on day one.  Here’s why.

The Senate needs to stop being the place where legislation goes to die.  If that means the other side gets some of theirs through, so be it.  If it hurts Americans, that will give voters an incentive not to return Republicans and DINOs to office, and to support Senators that they see fighting for them.

Democrats still hold a majority in the Senate.  They have the stick of stripping plumb committee assignments from recalcitrant Democrats, who refuse to support the people, if they would but have the courage to wield it.

Democrats still hold the White House.  Obama can veto anything egregious that reaches his desk.

If we don’t fix this now, Republicans will do so in 2012, because we will have handed them all three branches of government, unless voters see Democrats fighting for them.  Allowing Republican Filibuzzards to block everything, crippling the nation, through continued abuse of the filibuster, is the easiest way to keep voters thinking that all Democrats belong to the Cowardly Caucus.

Share
Nov 042010
 

4shameThe elections yesterday were not decided by the people who voted.  There were many factors.  The Republicans out-politicked the Democrats, because the American people seemed unaware that, albeit with far too much caving in along the way, Obama and the Democrats did more for Main Street than in any session of Congress since the LBJ administration.  Republicans were able to focus on every race, because of the record spending on lying ads, secretly funded by criminal corporations.  But the election was decided by the landslide majority of Americans who chose not to vote.  Twenty eight nations regularly have voter turnout over 75%. But according to US Election Project, only 38.2% of the 218,054,301 eligible voters went to the polls and voted.  These range from 51.5% in Oregon to 27.3% in Texas.  By comparison, the turnout was 41.3% in 2006.  The modern record high was 62.2% in 2008.  Also key is which 38.2% voted.

…In other words, last night’s results were as much about who voted as what they voted for. Those who voted were older, whiter, and more pessimistic and frightened. Those who stayed home were the people much more likely to favor an optimistic agenda based on hope and activism. Now, of course, turnout is closely related to intensity of feelings, so clearly the matter of who voted says something about public attitudes in general. But, on the whole, it would be wrong to c nclude from last night’s results that all those people who turned out for Obama in 2008 have now changed stripes… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <NC Policy Watch>

The young people who did vote were great.

National exit polls of more than 17,000 voters show a remarkable trend: Adults age 18-29 voted against the Republican Tsunami by 16 points (56-40). Younger adults age 18-24 were even more progressive, voting against Republicans by 19 points (58-39)…

Inserted from <Alternet>

The problem was that there were not enough of them. Only 11 percent of those under 30 turned out, below the 18 percent of the 2008 election and the 13 percent who turned out in 2006.

Pundits are talking about what America wants based on the exit surveys of voters.  They are talking to the wrong people.  They should be talking to the people who didn’t vote.

Based on the data above 83,296,743 voted.  Assuming a generous 5% average margin of victory, the difference was 4,164,837.  That’s 1.9% of Americans who decided this election. That’s right. 134,757,556 Americans allowed 1.9% of their peers, mostly old, scared, and uninformed to make their decision for them.  That is a national shame of epic proportions.

Share

Election Results – 2010

 Posted by at 12:22 am  Editorial, Politics
Nov 032010
 

1vote

We’ve reached the point where all we can do is count the numbers.  Here are the results.

I will also discuss what happened and why.

The Senate:

As of 6:00 PM the Senate consists of 45 Democrats, 33 Republicans, 2 Independents and 22 not yet projected.  So far this represents a net gain of two seats for Republicans, as they have taken Indiana and Arkansas.  On the InsaniTEA front, Rubio and Paul have won.

The House:

So far Republicans lead 78-35.  I’m devastated to report that Alan Grayson has succumbed to the corporate money bomb and lost his race.  MSNBC projects that Republicans will take the House by a wide margin.

Governors:

Democrats have held Arkansas, New Hampshire and New York.  Republicans have held Texas and picked up state houses in Kansas and Tennessee.

More to come.

Update 7:00 PM PDT:

The Senate:

The Senate consists of 45 Democrats, 39 Republicans, 2 Independents and 13 not yet projected.  So far this represents a net gain of three seats for Republicans, as they have taken Indiana, Arkansas and North Dakota.

The House:

So far Republicans lead 126-72.

Governors:

Republicans have picked up the state houses in Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Michigan, Oklahoma and Kansas.

More to come.

Update 8:00 PM PDT:

The Senate:

The Senate consists of 46 Democrats, 44 Republicans, 2 Independents and 8 not yet projected.  So far this represents a net gain of four seats for Republicans, as they have taken Indiana, Arkansas, North Dakota and Wisconsin.  Russ Feingold has lost.

The House:

So far Republicans lead 167-116.

Governors:

Republicans have picked up the state houses in Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Michigan, Oklahoma, Kansas, New Mexico, and Wyoming.

More to come.

Update 9:00 PM PDT:

The Senate:

The Senate consists of 48 Democrats, 44 Republicans, 2 Independents and 6 not yet projected.  So far this represents a net gain of four seats for Republicans, as they have taken Indiana, Arkansas, North Dakota and Wisconsin.

The House:

So far Republicans lead 199-142.  Did anyone else notice that Boehner was drunk when he gave his Republican victory speech?

Governors:

Republicans have picked up the state houses in Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Michigan, Oklahoma, Kansas, New Mexico, and Wyoming.

More to come.

Update 9:00 PM PDT:

The Senate:

The Senate consists of 49 Democrats, 46 Republicans, 2 Independents and 3 not yet projected.  So far this represents a net gain of six seats for Republicans, as they have taken Indiana, Arkansas, North Dakota and Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Illinois.  The Nevada Leg Hound won, but only because he faced Angle instead of Chicken Lady.  Only Colorado, Washington and Alaska remain.  The Democrat leads in Washington. The Republican leads in Colorado, but he may have been flipped around 30,000 votes by a clerical error.

The House:

So far Republicans lead 225-152.  It’s now official.  Republicans control the House.

Governors:

Republicans have picked up the state houses in Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Michigan, Oklahoma, Kansas, New Mexico, and Wyoming.  Democrats picked up the state house in California.  Governor Moonbeam beat Megabucks Whitman.

More to come.

Final Update:

The Senate:

The Senate consists of 49 Democrats, 46 Republicans, 2 Independents and 3 not yet projected.  So far this represents a net gain of six seats for Republicans, as they have taken Indiana, Arkansas, North Dakota and Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Illinois.  The Nevada Leg Hound won, but only because he faced Angle instead of Chicken Lady.  Only Colorado, Washington and Alaska remain.  Washington is a dead heat.  The Republican leads in Colorado, but a clerical error may have flipped him about 30,000 of the Democrat’s votes.  Alaska looks like an write-in win for Murkowski, but we won’t know until the write-in votes are hand counted.

The House:

So far Republicans lead 233-180, with 22 still undecided.

Governors:

Republicans have picked up the state houses in Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Michigan, Oklahoma, Kansas, New Mexico, Wyoming and Iowa.  Democrats picked up the state house in California.  Governor Moonbeam beat Megabucks Whitman.

No more results are expected tonight.

Why it happened:

We had the votes to win.  Yesterday I said it will depend on the turnout, and the turnout was low nationwide, especially among young voters.  For example:

One of the big assumptions the Democratic Party made this year was that President Obama could turn out the young voters who had voted for him in 2008—and there was no state in which Democrats tried harder to turn out this vote than Ohio. Nationwide, young voters did not turn out this time around. Only 11 percent of those under 30 turned out, below the 18 percent of the 2008 election and the 13 percent who turned out in 2006. In Ohio, the young vote was even more dismal. There, only 8 percent of young voters are voting. In 2006, exit polls showed that 13 percent of young voters turned out in Ohio… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <Slate Magazine>

Republicans are saying that that Democrats were defeated, because we are too liberal.  As always, they lie.  Democrats were defeated for three reasons, among others which I shall cover at a later time.  Democrats were not progressive enough.  If they had accomplished less, but had been seen as fighting for Main Street more, they would have won.  Had some young progressives not recognized that some progress is better that Speaker Boehner and motivated their peers instead of whining, we would have won.  Most of all, had American voters made the effort to learn the facts surrounding the issues instead of believing deceptive attack ads, secretly funded by criminal corporations, we would have won.

TC signing off…

Share
Nov 022010
 

Many of us are disappointed with Obama.  I oppose some of his policies, which there is no need to list here.  I have before.  I support others.  There’s nothing more I can say to demonstrate how  Republicans govern exclusively for the benefit of corporate criminals and the richest one percent.  I’ve said it all, over and over again.  If Democrats and Independents who want what’s best for America vote, we have the numbers to win this.  More registered voters favor Democrats than Republicans.  I I have discussed with Gwen, Jack, Oso and others, I think a lot of the lethargy has occurred, because Obama been good President and a lousy politician.  He and the Democrats in Congress have accomplished more than any President since LBJ, in spite of Republican opposition so unreasonable that they are willing to harm America to regain power.  The choice rests with you.

Rachel Maddow and historian, Michael Beschloss argue that Obama chose policy over politics.

You have a duty to perform.

As for my last word, I bet you have already guessed what it is.  Do it blue!

ElectionDay

Share