Primary Update–3/11/2020

 Posted by at 11:01 am  Politics
Mar 112020
 

Yesterday, there were Democratic primaries in Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota, and Washington.  It was a very good night for Joe Biden, and sadly, a very bad night for Bernie Sanders.  Unless he can turn it around quickly and dramatically, a VERY tall order, it’s over.

0311Delegates

Joe Biden is marching to the Democratic presidential nomination.

The former vice president handily defeated Bernie Sanders on Tuesday in Michigan’s primary — halting the Vermont senator’s hopes of a comeback in the state where he’d stunned Hillary Clinton four years ago.

Biden also notched massive wins in Idaho, Mississippi and Missouri. Sanders won in North Dakota. Washington hadn’t been called yet, but as of Wednesday morning, Biden was in a tight race there with Sanders, another state Sanders needed to win.

Tuesday marked a clear turning point in the Democratic race. Biden is building a powerful coalition of African Americans, suburbanites and rural white voters who previously backed Sanders, while Sanders is failing to produce the electorate-changing turnout of young voters that he’s promised. Democratic figures, from one-time 2020 candidate Andrew Yang to the party’s biggest super PAC, Priorities USA, lined up behind Biden after his Michigan win.

Biden and Sanders are scheduled to debate Sunday night in Arizona. But Sanders is entering a brutal stretch, with primaries next week in Arizona, Florida, Illinois and Ohio — all states he lost in 2016. There’s also the reality that coronavirus could crowd Sanders out of national headlines and make it impossible for him to leverage something that separates him from Biden: his ability to turn out massive crowds at rallies. It all makes a comeback even more difficult…  [emphasis added]

Inserted from CNN:

Here is the delegate count, as of early this morning.

Democratic Pledged Delegate
Count

Sanders

Biden

Iowa

12

6

New Hampshire

9

0

Nevada

24

9

South Carolina

15

39

Alabama

8

44

American Samoa

0

0

Arkansas

9

17

California

186

150

Colorado

20

12

Maine

9

11

Massachusetts

29

37

Minnesota

27

38

North Carolina

37

67

Oklahoma

13

21

Tennessee

19

33

Texas

111

102

Vermont

11

5

Virginia

31

66

Utah

13

a

Democrats Abroad

0

0

Idaho

11

9

Michigan

51

71

Mississippi

2

29

Missouri

23

40

North Dakota

5

3

Washington

17

17

Totals

692

826

How Joe Biden’s wins differ from Hillary Clinton’s in 2016

Credit where credit is due. Joe has built his coalition well beyond Hillary’s in 2016.

With Biden’s Big Wins, What’s Next For Sanders?

This is not the news I wanted to hear, but I have to admit that it looks mighty bleak for Bernie. As I see it, his only hope is a overwhelming win in Sunday’s debate.  If Joe does win the nomination and wants to unify the party, he needs to choose a progressive running mate, preferably a woman, ideally a non-white progressive woman.  I’d love AOC, but it won’t happen in my lifetime.

RESIST!!

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  12 Responses to “Primary Update–3/11/2020”

  1. Both numbers were close in TX…w/Sanders 111 Biden 102. 
    Thanks so much for getting this info out here, and passing this on. 
    I agree, that if Biden wins, he should have a progressive woman mate. 

  2. I already referenced (linked to) this, but I’m going to quote it in full because it explains so much (and it wss originally on Facebook, which makes it fair game):

    “Let me explain something to you about Joe Biden and why some of the shit that he’s done in his past doesn’t matter.

    This old rich white man played second fiddle to a black man. Not just any black man, but a younger black man, a smart black man. Not just for a day. Not 1, not 2 but eight years. He took his cues from this black man who had more power than him and was virtually unknown when he took the presidency, and Joe Biden had been around forever.

    He was willing and proud to be his wing man. Not once did he try to undermine him, this black man. Instead Joe walked in lockstep with him, he respected him, he loved and trusted him. He was led by him and he learned from him. And Joe did not have a problem with it.

    You tell me what 40+ year “establishment” white politician has ever done that. Joe Biden is cut from a different cloth. And black folks understand that and for good reason. He has shown it.

    This is what showing up and being an ally looks like. When black people say they know Joe, this is how we know.”

    I saw the same things while they were happening.  But I missed how important (and rare) it was, because that is the way people are supposed to act in my world-view.  And, of course, the fact is, they generally don’t.

  3. CNN: Most interesting.  No shoe-in, but interesting.
    MSNBC: That “Feeling of consolidation,” is a good way to put it.  How about Stacy Abrams?  She’s my choice.  Hey AOC will almost certainly not happen in my lifetime, either.
    Joanne, yes indeed!  

    • In order to be Vice President one needs to be qualified to succeed to the Presidency if necessary, and I don’t think AOC is even 30 yet.  But I do hope and expect you to live at least another 5+ years, so maybe.  I’d be for her in a heartbeat if she were old enough.  She is the most passionate unifying person (and the most unifying passionate person) that I think I have ever seen.

  4. My choice for VP:

  5. Sadly, things are turning out election-wise not as I hoped but as I expected.

    Trump’s utter madness and incompetence, the primaries, COVID-19 now officially a pandemic, the stock markets in panic mode finally crashing as they were expected to a long time ago, inadequate global action on climate change, my dear friend in pain and nauseous…it’s like watching a train wreck in slow motion.

    Almost a day ahead in time but factually almost a day behind in adding some, mostly pessimistic, comments as a bystander I don’t think my energy is well spent. I need to get more active in my own country where things are going wrong because of the influence Trump and his Bananarepublicans have on our own right-wing PM and government. And I still have some grieving to do.

    So my presence as a commenter may become even less notable than it was before, though you can rest assured I’ll be reading here every day.

  6. Appreciate the information, TC.
    Joe sure has advanced since last week. Thought his campaign was dead, now he’s full of energy and ready to go.
    We shall see where this all goes.

  7. I was really hoping for Sanders or Warren, or possibly Buttigeg or Klobuchar, but if Biden gets the nomination I’ll vote for him. We need to focus on getting tRump out of the White House. If we can’t get a real Progressive in the Oval Office, we can get them in Congress, which may actually be more important. Progressives will propose and pass the kinds of bills we need to make into law.

  8. Thanks, Hugs, And Amen to all! 02

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