May 182016
 

While there is still a slight mathematical possibility that Bernie could go to Philly with a majority of pledged delegates, he would have to win almost all the ones left, and and there is no reason to even suspect that the ongoing pattern of virtual ties will not continue.

0518bernie-hillary

Senator Bernie Sanders prevailed over Hillary Clinton on Tuesday in the Oregon primary, according to The Associated Press, while Mrs. Clinton claimed victory in a tight race in Kentucky, the day’s other contest.

Mrs. Clinton raced around Kentucky in the two days before the primary, hoping to fend off Mr. Sanders in a state that she won easily in 2008. In unofficial results late Tuesday night, Mrs. Clinton edged Mr. Sanders by about 1,900 votes, or less than half a percentage point, with all counties reporting. The Associated Press had not declared a winner by midnight.

The close result meant that she and Mr. Sanders would effectively split the state’s delegates. Nonetheless, winning Kentucky would give her a symbolic triumph that could blunt the effect of her loss in Oregon as she turns her attention to Donald J. Trump, her likely general election opponent.

With a lead in delegates that is almost impossible for Mr. Sanders to overcome, Mrs. Clinton is moving closer each week to claiming the Democratic nomination…

Inserted from <NY Times>

Here are the latest primary results.

State

Date

Delegates

Clinton

Sanders

Delegate

Allocation

Open/

Closed

(2,382 Needed to Win)

4763

2291

1528

Delegates Won

4051

1767

1488

 

 

Superdelegates

(712)

524

40

 

 

District of Columbia

June 14

20 (25)

 

 

Primary

Closed

California

June 7

475 (71)

 

 

Primary

Semi-closed

Montana

June 7

21 (6)

 

 

Primary

Open

New Jersey

June 7

126 (16)

 

 

Primary

Closed

North Dakota

June 7

18 (5)

 

 

Primary

Open

New Mexico

June 7

34 (9)

 

 

Primary

Closed

South Dakota

June 7

20 (5)

 

 

Primary

Semi-open

Puerto Rico

June 5

60 (7)

 

 

Primary

Open

Virgin Islands

June 4

7 (5)

 

 

Caucus

Closed

Oregon

May 17

61 (13)

24

28

Primary

Closed

Kentucky

May 17

55 (5)

27

27

Primary

Closed

West Virginia

May 10

29 (8)

11

18

Primary

Semi-closed

Guam

May 7

7 (5)

4

3

Caucus

Closed

Indiana

May 3

83 (9)

39

44

Primary

Open

Rhode Island

April 26

24 (9)

11

13

Primary

Semi-closed

Pennsylvania

April 26

189 (21)

105

83

Primary

Closed

Delaware

April 26

21 (10)

12

9

Primary

Closed

Connecticut

April 26

55 (15)

28

27

Primary

Closed

Maryland

April 26

95 (23)

61

33

Primary

Closed

New York

April 19

247 (44)

139

108

Primary

Closed

Wyoming

April 9

14 (4)

7

7

Caucus

Closed

Wisconsin

April 5

86 (10)

38

48

Primary

Open

Washington

March 26

101 (17)

27

74

Caucus

Open

Hawaii

March 26

25 (9)

8

17

Caucus

Semi-closed

Alaska

March 26

16 (4)

3

13

Caucus

Closed

Utah

March 22

33 (4)

6

27

Caucus

Semi-open

Idaho

March 22

23 (4)

5

18

Caucus

Open

Arizona

March 22

75 (10)

42

33

Primary

Closed

Ohio

March 15

143 (16)

81

62

Primary

Semi-open

North Carolina

March 15

107 (14)

59

45

Primary

Semi-closed

Missouri

March 15

71 (13)

36

35

Primary

Open

Illinois

March 15

156 (26)

79

77

Primary

Open

Florida

March 15

214 (32)

141

73

Primary

Closed

Northern Marianas

March 12

6 (5)

4

2

N/A

N/A

Michigan

March 8

130 (17)

63

67

Primary

Open

Mississippi

March 8

36 (5)

32

4

Primary

Open

Maine

March 6

25 (5)

8

17

Caucus

Closed

Kansas

March 5

33 (4)

10

23

Caucus

Closed

Nebraska

March 5

25 (5)

10

15

Caucus

Closed

Louisiana

March 5

51 (8)

37

14

Primary

Closed

Virginia

March 1

95 (15)

62

33

Primary

Open

Vermont

March 1

16 (10)

0

16

Primary

Open

Texas

March 1

222 (30)

147

75

Primary

Open

Tennessee

March 1

67 (9)

44

23

Primary

Open

Oklahoma

March 1

38 (4)

17

21

Primary

Semi-closed

Minnesota

March 1

77 (16)

31

46

Caucus

Open

Massachusetts

March 1

91 (25)

46

45

Primary

Semi-closed

Georgia

March 1

102 (14)

73

29

Primary

Open

Democrats Abroad

March 1-8

13 (4)

4

9

Primary

Closed

Colorado

March 1

66 (13)

25

41

Caucus

Closed

Arkansas

March 1

32 (5)

22

10

Primary

Open

American Samoa

March 1

6 (4)

4

2

Caucus

Closed

Alabama

March 1

53 (7)

44

9

Primary

Open

South Carolina

February 27

53 (6)

39

14

Primary

Open

Nevada

February 20

35 (8)

20

15

Caucus

Closed

New Hampshire

February 9

24 (8)

9

15

Primary

Semi-closed

Iowa

February 1

44 (8)

23

21

Caucus

Semi-open

 

Bernie gained by four delegates, but that's not enough to help.  So what are progressives to do?  Rachel Maddow discussed the problems with Oregon's Jeff Merkley, the only Senator progressive enough to endorse Bernie.

Now, Bernie said that he would not be put in the position of Ralph Nader, who made eight years of Crawford Caligula possible.  And Bernie said that nothing is more important that keeping a Republican out of the White House.  But some people are saying things like, "But how can I vote Blue if the Democratic nominee is Hillary Clinton?"  Here's  what to do.  First, assuming Rump Dump is the Republican nominee (if not, it will be someone equally evil),.you can know with certainty that the next President will be either Rump Dump or Hillary Clinton.  Next, make a list of all the positions and policies Rump Dump has in common with Bernie.  If you write it on toilet paper, you'll get dirty fingers.  Then make a list of all the positions and policies Hillary has in common with Bernie.  The better President of the only two possible winning choices will be the one with the most positions and policies in common with Bernie.   Now, that leaves you with two choices.  You can vote for that candidate for the good of the country, and if you have to hold your nose, so be it!  Or you can hold your nose high, maintain your ideological purity, and help throw the rest of us to the wolves.  If that seems harsh, know that I love you all.  It would be an extreme disservice, if I did not share the truth, as I understand it.

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  12 Responses to “Another Tie Is a Win for Hillary”

  1. Clinton's policies similar to Bernie's may actually translate into actions if elected only if Bernie succeeds in getting them included in the Party Platform–otherwise it is just hot air IMO to disappear like a helium balloon let loose.

    KY still not called; Bernie took more delegates total from yesterday even when superdelegates are counted.

    Alaska followed Maine's lead requiring superdelegate voting to match voters' proportions.

    KY being at best a virtual tie for Clinton shows how much she has lost touch with the electorate since it is a state Bill easily won twice and where she had a decisive win in 2008.

    I keep remembering how many corporate donors and wealthy donors gave to both Clinton and Jeb…

    • PS–Pelosi has encouraged all superdelegates, especially in CA, to align with what the voters choose…not many here have come out for Clinton compared to other states…

  2. OK, time for me to simply quote the cartoon I have been encouraging everyone to read (enlarge, print, put ona yard sign, whatever):

    "I will NEVER vote for HILLARY!  She's the sams as the Republicans!"
    "Oh, yeah!  Exactly the same.  Except for Supreme Court nominations.  And global warming.  And being pro-choice.  And gay marriage.  And guns.
    "Are you DONE?"
    "Just taking a breath… and voting rights.  And the environment.  And the Iran nuclear deal.  And healthcare.  And food stamps.  And…"

    Presumably that will be a little head start on the two-column chart TC is encouraging.

  3. 'Blue'print under video~ Amen, and Hallelujah!! ~ Vote Blue!

    Good advice, and well worth noting, Tom. I agree!!

    Thanks for this.

  4. Got to vote blue, regardless…and the hell with Ralph Nader, and his frigging ego!

  5. latest polls seem to say Trump will beat Clinton no matter what Bernie's supporters do:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

    But that Bernie could beat Trump…sigh

    The DNC is ensuring a loss yet again by ignoring voters and putting in their preference the voters think negatively about like they did to give us Reagan and Bush(es(

    • The DNC has done nothing to support Bernie!  They decided Clinton would be the nominee before the voting process even started.

  6. VOTE BLUE NO MATTER

    WHO!!!!!

  7. NY Times:  What isn't noted is that over 24,000 Democrats in Kentucky voted uncommitted.   I am afraid these votes will go to Trump.  Hillary barely won in Kentucky and probably would have done better if not for the coal issues.   The Republicans campaigned against her with one of her speeches where she said that coal miners would be out of jobs and coal companies would be out of business.  Eastern and Western Kentucky are both dependent on coal for a living.  Bernie did not campaign here as much as she did, so people didn't hear from him.  I am pro bernie and voted for him, but if Hillary gets the nomination, I will vote for her.  I am bothered by the fact that both camps are turning vicious on each other, acting like Republicans.

    The latest primary results show that Clinton has the most delegates and it is unlikely that Sanders will catch up to her.

    Rachel Maddow:  Still having trouble with sound on videos, couldn't hear this one.  However, I agree with your assessment.  Voting for a third party is the same as voting for Trump.  I fail to see how anyone who is reasonably sane would want to do that.  I will vote Blue, no matter Who.

  8. You've really said it all, TomCat, and you've said it so terribly well.

    The rest of the world is powerless and can only hope for the best, keeping its fingers crossed that progressive Americans jump over their shadows and do the next best thing to voting for Bernie: Vote Blue, No Matter Who.

    And then continue the fight with Bernie (and Elizabeth and Jeff) and restructure both the Democratic Party and American Politics and hold Hillary to her promises. With Hillary as president AND Congress coming back under Democratic control, progressives at least have a chance to fight to turn things around. Under Drumpf's Republican dictatorship they have absolutely NONE.

  9. Thanks for the video. Its playing, slowly for me. My internet, not y'all. 

    We need MORE JEFF MERKELY'S! I want him to be MY SENATOR! Mine is the idiot that brought a snowball in to Senate Chambers! Ugh!

    VOTE BLUE, NO MATTER WHO!!!!!! HumptyDrumpf IS NOT AN OPTION!!!

    Thanks, TC!

    • AGREED!  Our nation would do well with a Senate FULL of cloned Sen. Merleys (D-OR) (who is a Sanders supporter):

      "When a nominee wins a majority of both those categories [pledged delegates & super-delegates], it is time for us to come together, link arms and go forward"

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