Yesterday defrosting my freezer tired me to the extent that I was too tires to sleep. Therefore, this will be today’s only article, as I’m going back to bed and try again. I am not current with replies. I expect to be back tomorrow.
Jig Zone Puzzle:
Today’s took me 4:17 (average 5:07). To do it, click here. How did you do?
Short Takes:
From MoveOn: Dean Of NYC Drama School Has Some Hilarious Advice For Mitt Romney On How To Act ‘Human’
Human is probably just too far a stretch for Willard.
From NY Times: A federal appeals court on Thursday ruled that gay Americans are a class of people who deserve the same kinds of constitutional protections as many other victims of discrimination.
The 2-to-1 ruling, by the Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit in New York, came as the panel struck down the federal law prohibiting federal recognition of same-sex marriage. It is the first time that a federal appeals court has applied this level of constitutional protection — known as heightened scrutiny — to those unions. The case is now considered by some legal scholars to be the leading candidate for a Supreme Court review of the same-sex marriage issue.
Thursday’s decision was the second by a federal appeals court striking down the Defense of Marriage Act. Now the case, Windsor v. United States, could be considered by the Supreme Court.
Another step toward freedom.
From 538: The Gallup national tracking poll now shows a very strong lead for Mitt Romney. As of Wednesday, he was ahead by six points among likely voters. Mr. Romney’s advantage grew further, to seven points, when Gallup updated its numbers on Thursday afternoon.
The Gallup poll is accounted for in the forecast model, along with all other state and national surveys.
However, its results are deeply inconsistent with the results that other polling firms are showing in the presidential race, and the Gallup poll has a history of performing very poorly when that is the case.
That 7% number didn’t ring true to me, because I have not seen a corresponding shift in the state by state polls.
Cartoon:
After 52 years, ending it is long past due.
22 Responses to “Open Thread–10/19/2012”
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I find it very hard to believe that a majority of the American voters would elect Romney. But then I thought that about George W Bush also…twice…and I was wrong both times.
I really think SCROTUS "elected " Bushie Boy the second time.
It was the first time. The second time, Ohio's rigged e-voting machines elected him.
Sadly, to elect a Democrat, we need to win by at least 3% and up to 5% anywhere Republicans control e-voting machines without a paper trail.
Certainly the Republicans must have "fixed" that Gallop poll.
LMAO! Yep!! 😀
Not sure how many links I can leave, but I'm going to try to leave three. These are from comments I left at a site I always read like this one.
Too see some photos of Bishop Romney's family click links below. Read comment and click on embedded link in each comment and you will see a photo of Tagg Romney and other links with some of his brothers.
http://craigcrawford.com/2012/10/19/a-night-of-cease-fire-not-for-mitt/#comment-301741
http://craigcrawford.com/2012/10/19/a-night-of-cease-fire-not-for-mitt/#comment-301742
http://craigcrawford.com/2012/10/19/a-night-of-cease-fire-not-for-mitt/#comment-301746
Have a great day.
AP, you can leave two before moderation fits in. I released it as soon as I saw it. Interesting pics!
4:14 We are close, TomCat. Let's hope the girls don't drop the anchor on us.
3:43 Anchors aweigh me lads, anchors aweigh!
4:16 I got sea sick on this one. Stop with the boats already.
Ouch!
The Canuck got us again! 😉
Are you still sure you want to own a Canuck???
Yep! The Bible gives me that right! 😉
MoveOn ~ James Lipton was brilliant in this clip. I saw him on Hardball the other day. I found this write-up of a few of his interviews after the debates. He is looking for Rmoney's soul, I believe. He still hasn't found it.
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/live-feed/james-lipton-debate-president-obama-379860
NY Times ~ I wonder if SCROTUS will decide to hear this case. Aren't they picking their cases for the next session soon?
538 ~ Many of the pundits were saying today that they no longer trust Gallup. No reasons were given.
Cartoon ~ Where's my Cuban cigars?
Good video, Patty!
This one or one like it.
Sometimes a poll just screws the pooch. I looked at the methodology and it looked OK. That's why I like to use averages and trends.
In Cuba!
Puzzle — 3:43 Anchors aweigh me lads, anchors aweigh! And here from Wikipedia:
Verse 1 (la la la tune)
Stand Navy out to sea
Fight our battle cry:
We'll never change our course
So vicious foes steer shy-y-y-y
Roll out the T. N. T.
Anchors Aweigh
Sail on to victory
And sink their bones to Davy Jones, hooray!
Bridge
Yo ho there shipmate
Take the fighting to the far off seas
Yo ho there messmate
Hear the wailing of the wild banshees
All hands, fire brands
Let's Blast them as we go. So
Verse 2
Anchors Aweigh my boys
Anchors Aweigh
Farewell to foreign shores (or "Farewell to college joys")
We sail at break of day 'ay 'ay 'ay
O'er our last night ashore
Drink to the foam
Until we meet once more
Here's wishing you a happy voyage home!
Bridge
Heave a ho there sailor
Everybody drink up while you may
Heave a ho there sailor
For your gonna sail at break of day
Drink away, Drink away,
For you sail at break of day, Hey!
Verse 3
Blue of the Mighty Deep
Gold of God’s Sun
Let these our colors be
Till all time be done
By Severn Shore we learn
Navy’s stern call
Faith, Courage, Service True
With Honor Over, Honor Over All.
MoveOn — Very good. Would have liked to hear the 'results' of the test — think it would be funny! Many have accused Romney of many things — liar, greedy, power hungry etc etc — but I don't believe they have ever accused him of being a genuine compassionate human being! I hear the term "plastic man" a lot. I think if he decided to become a real and genuine human being, the world would stop rotating on it's axis!
NY Times — Amen! There is truth and justice! Well at least outside SCOTUS. With this progress, the Injustices of SCOTUS are likely to put an end to this ruling. May the arguments be so compelling that the Injustices must rule to uphold the Appeals Court decisions.
538 — Have the Republican/Teabaggers infiltrated the Gallup organisation? Or maybe this is just a Hallowe'en trick to see if anyone is watching!
Cartoon — Amazing that this embargo is still going on! The enmity created over the past 52 years is beyond belief! The Berlin Wall came down years ago. It is time this 'wall' was broken down too!
Singing is a weird way to win, but whatever works! 😉
I think he is compassionate when his role calls for compassion, such as pastoral duties. He does not see capitalist or politician as compassionate roles.
Thanks.
It appears to be just an outlier.
Amen!
NY Times & Gay Marriage
You got to love the Second Circuit Court's Ruling if only for the irony.
If you read the NY Times piece, you learned that the suit was brought because Ms. Windsor contested the tax bill of $363,053 that she would have had to pay if her marriage had not been recognized.
So the Wingnuts are now left with two choices – and they HATE BOTH: [1] Support Same-Sex Marriage or [2] Support the Estate Tax
538
Gallup is really getting pummelled for their polling technique.
But maybe a quicker way to understand how they come to such head-scratching results is to simply looking at their crosstabs showing their results by region:
East: O+4
Midwest: O+4
South: R+22
West: O+6
I don't think that's going to translate into nearly enough Electoral Votes for Mittnocchio … even IF the 7% is accurate
And for the Wonks amongst us who like to dig deeper into numbers, Andrew Sullivan provides a post with LOTS of links to get your abacus humming (or whatever abacuses do when they're busy):
http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/10/what-is-up-with-gallup.html
Thanks Nameless. I think averages is the answer, but I expect the popular vote to be closer than the electoral vote because of the Southern Strategy.