Skewed Polls or Warped Minds?

 Posted by at 10:29 am  Politics
Sep 302012
 

As polls make Obama’s advantage more clear each day, Republicans leaders are desperate for a way to make people believe that it just isn’t so.  To achieve that end, they have concocted an idiotic conspiracy theory that the poll results are “voter suppression” by Democrats in cahoots with the media.  Before going into this in more detail and explaining why it could not possibly be true, here is an explanation from the intellectual cream of the Republican Party.

30PollsIf you listen to right-wing pundits, the entire political science establishment, in cahoots with mainstream media, are circling their wagons around their favored candidate, and obscuring either the inevitability of his failure or a more sinister outcome behind a font of false information. The current polling numbers that show President Barack Obama pulling ahead of Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney are cooked, they say.

It’s a laughable premise, of course — the media are hardly kind to liberals or Democrats — but this is no random theory dreamed up by an unhinged wingnut. It’s a carefully crafted narrative, and one that may hold the only hope Republicans have of winning the 2012 presidential race. Why? Because with an increasingly shrinking slice of the electorate undecided on its presidential candidate, the outcome of election 2012 will likely hinge almost entirely on which candidate gets to the polls all the voters who lean his way. Polls that depress the spirits of right-wing voters could easily depress their turnout, as well…

…In the alternate universe occupied by the right, there’s a dark conspiracy afoot — one in which the steadfast conservative exists in an undulating world that conspires to confound him with unwelcome information: his big car is melting the polar ice caps, women are bringing home the bacon and, four years ago, a black man won the presidency, fair and square. Information that so disturbs challenges his comfort level must surely be wrong

Inserted from <Alternet>

Republicans point to the demographics, noting that this year’s polls use a higher percentage of Democrats and lower percentage of Republicans than they did four years ago.  The conspiracy theory hinges on the notion that the media, who sponsor the polls, changed those demographic percentages intentionally to produce skewed results.

However, there is an alternate explanation that also happens to be true.  Polls depend on self-identification of voters.  Because the Republican party has moved so far to the extreme right, many former Republicans now self-identify as Independents, and many former Independents now self-identify as Democrats.  In short, the polls reflect more Democrats and fewer Republicans than there were four years ago, because there are more Democrats and fewer Republicans than there were four years ago.

Finally, the reason the Republican conspiracy theory could not be true is that skewing the results is directly against the self-interest of the media.  The media want a close race.  The closer the race, the more people will pay attention and soak up media ads, generating more revenue for the media.  After all, generating revenue is the be all and end all for the media.

So, is it skewed polls or warped minds?  The answer is obvious.

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Sep 302012
 

In the developing Republican voter fraud scandal, one thing seemed surprising.  After the fraud became apparent, the Republicans were quick to point out that they had been scammed by the company and take corrective action.  That struck me as contrary to the Republican history of election theft, and I could not help but wonder just what the Republican Party knew about this company and its owner, Nathan Sproul.

30Sproul

…Nathan Sproul, the infamous voter suppression operative from 2004, accused of running an operation in several states that destroyed voter registration forms signed by Democrats, had been secretly paid by Republicans this year on another multimillion-dollar contract for voter registration in swing states.

Sproul—who managed an $8 million voter outreach program for Republicans in 2004—is accused of having his workers destroy voter registration forms turned in by Democrats in Nevada and Oregon that year. Similar tactics were reported in Pennsylvania, Minnesota and West Virginia. They’re also accused of other hijinx, from gathering signatures to place Ralph Nader on the ballot to deceiving people in voter registration drives at Walmart. CBS News has reported on faxes they received showing Sproul’s firm misrepresenting themselves as the left-leaning America Votes! group.

He’s now in hot water because his firm was caught turning in faked voter registration forms in Palm Beach County and nine other counties in Florida.

Within a day of The Nation’s reporting the story, officials with the national Republican Party cut ties with Sproul, whose firm has already received $3.1 million for work in Virginia, Florida, Nevada, North Carolina and Colorado. Although the payments were made by state party committees, its now clear that the Romney campaign and the national GOP coordinated the effort.

But here’s confirmation of another wrinkle in the story—the Los Angeles Times reports that Republicans were so concerned with the many scandals surrounding Sproul and his previous work, they indeed asked him to set up a shell corporation to hide the payments. Here’s what Matea Gold and her colleagues reported today: “But his reputation is such that when Sproul was tapped by the RNC to do field work this year, officials requested that he set up a new firm to avoid being publicly linked to the past allegations.” The shell is called “Strategic Allied Consulting,” but Sproul’s real firm carries the name “Sproul and Associates” and “Lincoln Strategy Group.”… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <The Nation>

Photo credit: Brad Blog

Given that Republicans knew Sproul well enough to attempt in advance to hide who he is, belies their innocent stance.  Cenk Uygur provided excellent coverage of the this Republican fraud.

There can be no doubt that the Republican Party hired Nathan Sproul, knowing in advance, exactly who he is and what he does.  They hired Sproul to do what he did and more, except that he was not supposed to get caught!

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SCOTUS: New Term

 Posted by at 10:28 am  Politics
Sep 302012
 

The Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) begins a new term, and with it the possibility of further undermining the Constitution of the United States, as they did in Citizens United, the worst Supreme Court decision since Dred Scott.  As the Justices (and the inJustices) ponder important cases, we should be pondering just how important the coming election looms.

ScotusNew

On Monday, the Supreme Court opens a new term with a menu of important cases that deal with affirmative action, criminal justice, the right of defendants to effective counsel and more. The court may soon choose to hear a controversial case that could redefine voting-rights law, and, later in the term, one or more cases involving same-sex marriage.

AFFIRMATIVE ACTION In Fisher v. University of Texas at Austin, the court will address how and perhaps whether the university can take race into account as a factor in student admissions…

UNREASONABLE SEARCHES Two important cases involve the Fourth Amendment prohibition against unreasonable searches and seizures…

RIGHT TO COUNSEL Two cases involve the right of defendants to have effective counsel…

The court has not yet considered whether to take a highly contested case about the Voting Rights Act, but it may… [emphasis original]

Inserted from <NY Times>

For more information on the Court’s calendar and cases than I intended to include, click through to the original article.  My intent is to give you some concept of the magnitude of the importance of this election in determining the future of this nation.  A Romney win, yielding a court where the extreme right has a 6-3 majority will change election rules so profoundly, that elections will no longer matter in this country. Republicans will have a green light to disenfranchise voters at will.  That is the end of America, as we know it.

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Sep 302012
 

It’s a holy day in the Church of the Ellipsoid Orb, and I will be meditating. ;-)  I’m current with replies.  Tomorrow appears routine.

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today’s took me 4:06 (average 5:34).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Short Takes:

From MoveOn: What If Everyone Saw This Facebook Status?

30Status

What if we put the party responsible for all out of business?

From Washington Post: Voters in three critical swing states broadly oppose the far-reaching changes to Medicare ­associated with the Republican presidential ticket and, by big margins, prefer President Obama to handle the issue, according to new state polls by The Washington Post and the Kaiser Family Foundation.

For seniors in Florida, Ohio and Virginia, Medicare rivals the economy as a top voting issue. And by majorities topping 70 percent, seniors say they prefer to keep Medicare as a program with guaranteed benefits, rather than moving to a system in which the government gives recipients fixed payments to buy coverage from private insurers or traditional Medicare, as Romney advocates.

As always the interests of the Republican Party and the interests of the vast majority of Americans are polar opposites.

From Florida Times-Union: In audio picked up by an answering machine, a volunteer for the Republican Party of Clay County can be heard calling President Barack Obama “a Muslim” and saying he wants to “get rid of your Medicare” while reaching out to voters in support of Mitt Romney’s campaign.

The call was made as part of a statewide phone bank for Romney’s campaign being conducted by the Clay County GOP. The volunteer, who was not identified, did not hang up before moving onto her next call.

Her pitch to the next person was picked up on the first person’s answering machine.

Too much! Here’s a link to the audio. Note how the woman recommended the Republican Ministry of Propaganda for confirmation of her lies.

Cartoon:

30Cartoon

I may be peeing into the wind, but I’m still calling for trials for war criminals Bush and Cheney.

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Voter Fraud Projection

 Posted by at 9:31 am  Politics
Sep 292012
 

Projection is a tactic in which someone diverts attention from their own faults, by accusing an opponent of having those same faults, even if they do not.  It has long been a standard Republican tactic.  So it’s little wonder that Republicans, who specialize in election fraud, accuse Democrats of that which they are guilty themselves.

29VoterFraudFlorida elections officials said Friday that at least 10 counties have identified suspicious and possibly fraudulent voter registration forms turned in by a firm working for the Republican Party of Florida, which has filed an election fraud complaint with the state Division of Elections against its one-time consultant.

The controversy in Florida — which began with possibly fraudulent forms that first cropped up in Palm Beach County –  has engulfed the Republican National Committee, which admitted Thursday that it urged state parties in seven swing states to hire the firm, Strategic Allied Consulting.The RNC paid the company at least $3.1 million — routed through the state parties of Florida, Nevada, Colorado, North Carolina and Virginia — to register voters and run get-out-the-vote operations. Wisconsin and Ohio had not yet paid the firm for get-out-the-vote operations it was contracted to do.

The RNC severed its ties to the firm Thursday after questions arose about the work Strategic Allied did in Palm Beach County, where election officials have turned over to prosecutors 106 voter registration forms submitted by one worker, some of which contained apparent forgeries and other problems.

Now elections officials across Florida are scrutinizing voter registration forms turned in to their counties on behalf of the state Republican Party. The state elections division is also investigating.

Florida GOP officials – who said they hired Strategic Allied at the request of the RNC – alleged in their complaint Thursday that the firm turned in forms with fake signatures and false information, said Chris Cate, spokesman for the Division of Elections, which will turn over its findings to the Florida Department of Law Enforcement… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <LA Times>

Photo credit: liveleak.com

Ed Schultz discussed this Republican voter fraud and other forms of Republican election fraud with Barbara Boxer and Allen Raymond.

Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

When Republicans claim voter fraud, their claims have been disproven, without exception. When voter fraud actually does occur, however rarely, Republicans are the culprits. But Republican election fraud is not limited to mere voter fraud. Beware intimidation, and if anyone tries to use harassment tactics to keep you from voting, report them to the FBI.

Several days ago I posted notices in my building asking people, who need help registering to vote, to contact me.  Yesterday I helped six register.  Two had state IDs, so I just put them on the website and helped them with the online form.  Four did not so I printed out the paper forms, helped them fill them out, made sure they had the required (Oregon) documentation to attach: a paycheck stub, a utility bill, a bank statement, or any government document.  I put their information into my own envelopes, put my own stamps on them, and gave them to them to mail.  During the discussion, it came out that five of them intended to vote for Obama, and one, for Romney.  The idea of not helping the Republican did not even occur to me.  Making sure voters have an opportunity to vote does not and must never depend on party.  Ironically, the Republican I had just helped accused me of voter fraud.  He said that to be fair, I should only have helped one of the Democrats.  I told him I just helped everyone who asked.  Sadly, the Republican party does not see it that way.

Rachel Maddow reported on another example of Republican election fraud.

Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

And that’s not all.  In districts where Republicans control electronic voting machines that leave no paper trail, actual vote tallies have differed from exit polling by 3 – 5%, always in favor of the Republican.  My own research verified this in 2004, 2006 and 2008.

When I post my weekly election projection, there will be many reasons to smile.  But remember, Republicans have more ways to steal an election than dogs have fleas.  Your vote is too important to throw away.

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Obama Phones? Oh My!

 Posted by at 9:31 am  Politics
Sep 292012
 

Every time the Republican Party reaches a new low in overtly racist conspiracy theories, I wonder how they could possibly do anything more despicable.  I shouldn’t wonder.  They always do.  The latest is their “Obama Phones” scandal.  Lets start with the phony Republican video that started it.

29obamaphonesRomney’s dwindling army of right-wingers have their hunting vests in a bunch over a new viral video posted on the Drudge Report Thursday afternoon. The minute-long video, which has already gotten more than one million views since it was posted yesterday on YouTube, shows an African American woman in Cleveland voicing her support for President Obama because he gave her a “free phone.” As for her appearance, suffice it to say that she comes across as the living incarnation of the right wing’s stereotypical welfare citizen–which, according to Romney, is now a full 47 percent of the population.

Naturally, the right went rabid…

…Rush Limbaugh’s comments were even more scathing–sprinkled with accusations that the woman lacked basic education except for one topic: how to game the system.

“So these are the people that don’t like Romney because of what he said about the 47%? No, these are the 47%! (laughing) Yeah, I’ll play it again. These are the 47%… She knows how to get this free Obama phone. She knows everything about it. She may not know who George Washington is or Abraham Lincoln, but she knows how to get an Obama phone,” he said yesterday afternoon [Limnbarf delinked].

But it’s the right that are going to end up looking like the ignorant fools. What Limbaugh, Malzberg — and likely the majority of the million people who viewed the video — didn’t know was that these “Obama Phones” are actually a creation of their beloved Ronald Reagan, who began the program in 1984… [emphasis added]

Inserted from <Alternet>

Isn’t that a hoot?  The so-called “Obama phones” were actually the doing of canonized and deified Republican Saint Ronnie Ray Gun.  Of course they don’t want to hear that Reagan could not be nominated as a dog catcher in today’s Republican Party.  He’s way too librul!

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Sep 292012
 

You wouldn’t believe how pooped I was yesterday!  Except for preparing the Open Thread and helping half a dozen residents of my building register to vote, I slept through the day.  I’m current with replies.  Tomorrow is a holy day in the Church of the Ellipsoid Orb, and the meditation between the Denver congregation and the Oakland congregation will be televised here.  Wooo Hooo!!

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today’s took me 3:22 (average 4:28).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Short Takes:

From MoveOn: Awesome Great-Grandma Gives Romney A Piece Of Her Mind

 

The freeloaders are people like Lord Willard that stack the deck, so they get tax breaks that allow them to legally evade paying their fair share.

From NY Times: The Department of Homeland Security has stated in writing that foreigners who are same-sex partners of American citizens can be included under an Obama administration policy suspending deportations of some immigrants who pose no security risk.

So it should be.

From Detroit Free Press: The leader of the state Senate said he and fellow Republican colleagues are armed with a proposal to replace the state law that lets emergency managers take over local governments in the event voters strike it down in November.

The behind-the-scenes effort, which doesn’t appear to involve Republican House leaders or GOP Gov. Rick Snyder, aims to keep a form of the contentious law on the books

Is there nothing beneath Republicans when it comes to imposing totalitarian rule?

Cartoon: The worse the outlook for their party, the more desperate they become, so…

29Cartoon

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Sep 282012
 

Yesterday my volunteer meeting in prison was a mostly social event, as speakers from outside colleges and churches came in to read essays.  I love it, when visitors come to a meeting for the first time, because they are always amazed at how my guys are nothing like their expectations.  Critter agrees with Critter.  I’m so worn out, that I feel like I should bury myself in the deepest corner of my kitty box., so this is today’s only article.  I’m current with replies.  I expect to be back full time and normal tomorrow.

Jig Zone Puzzle:

Today’s took me 3:46 (average 4:36).  To do it, click here.  How did you do?

Short Takes:

From MoveOn: Why Romney’s ”Let Detroit Go Bankrupt” Would Have Been Exactly The Wrong Move 4 Years Ago

 

4 years ago, Lord Willard’s policies would have been disastrous. That has not changed, and continuing Obama’s leadership is imperative.

From MSNBC: The service of Lord Willard

 

Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

I was ready to go to prison to protest that war, and attacked because of my activism, I left blood on the streets of several US cities. For that, I receive no benefits, but in my protest, I did far more to serve this nation than Lord Willard. Soldiers who put their ass on the line fighting that war and activists who put their ass on the line opposing that war all served. Chickenhawks like GW Bush, Cheney and Lord Willard did not!  WE gave.  THEY take.

From Buzzfeed and MSNBC: Former President George W. Bush is set to deliver the keynote address at the Cayman Alternative Investment Summit on Grand Cayman just a few days before the election.

The conference will feature Bush as the keynote speaker on the first night, and British billionaire Sir Richard Branson on the second night.

 

Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Lord Willard may not want Crawford Caligula visiting him personally, but he must be OK with Bush visiting his money.

Cartoon:

28Cartoon

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