Yesterday Portland has a one day mini heat wave with outside temperatures hitting 84°. The sun hit the breezeway early, and the inside temperature shot up to 97° and is still 89°. That set off my COPD and I’ve had almost zero sleep. To make matters worse, I’m fasting, because I have to visit the vampire this morning. I did manage to keep up with comments, but do not expect to do so today. I’ll catch up when I can.
Jig Zone Puzzle:
Today it took me 4:30. To do it, click here. How did you do?
Lefty Bloggers Plus Report – Week 3:
Scores
Week 3
Score
Jay’s Team
Recovering Republic…
102.9
128.8
Final
Lionel Hutz + The H…
Seahawks Rock
90.0
113.5
Final
Teabuggery Trashers
hugos misfits
79.2
77.1
Final
Rob’s Roosters
Playin w/out a helm…
51.1
87.6
Final
Greensburg Wombats
elliot’s Team
130.6
81.9
Final
Standings:
Team
W-L-T
Pct.
GB
Recovering Republicans
3-0-0
1.000
0.0
Seahawks Rock
3-0-0
1.000
0.0
Greensburg Wombats
2-1-0
0.667
1.0
Rob’s Roosters
2-1-0
0.667
1.0
Lionel Hutz + The Hail Marys
1-2-0
0.333
2.0
elliot’s Team
1-2-0
0.333
2.0
hugos misfits
1-2-0
0.333
2.0
Teabuggery Trashers
1-2-0
0.333
2.0
Playin w/out a helmet
1-2-0
0.333
2.0
Jay’s Team
0-3-0
0.000
3.0
I finally won one! Sunday the weeks with byes start, so check your rosters early to be sure you have adequate personnel.
Short Takes:
From ABC: Although no final decision has been made because of family considerations, ABC News has learned that White House officials are preparing for White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel to announce on Friday – as Congress adjourns for recess — that he is leaving his post at the White House to explore a run for mayor of Chicago.
Have your party hats ready on Friday!
From Right Wing Watch: Dr. William Harrison was an ardent supporter of a woman’s right to reproductive choice which, in turn, made him a frequent target of right-wing anti-choice activists.
On Friday, he died after a four-month battle with leukemia … and Operation Rescue is rejoicing, seeing it as proof that "God always gets the last word".
That’s not the God to whom I pray.
From Daily Kos: GOP Catfood Commission members pushing for tax cuts for the wealthy.
They are totally #$%&*%# nuts!
Cartoon: from Cagle.com
5 weeks to go!
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5:03 😐
2010 Midterm House and Senate Forecast Models: RV/LV Polls, Undecided Voters and Election Fraud
Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)
Sept. 29, 2010
Registered and Likely Voter Projections
The House and Senate forecast models provide Registered Voter (RV) and Likely Voter (LV) projections. The assumption is that the election is held today. Pre-election polls all interview registered voters; likely voters are a sub-sample. They are not separate polls. Democrats always do better in the full RV sample than in the LV sub-sample (see the LVCM model below).
LV polls exclude millions of registered voters who actually vote – and most of them are Democrats. In addition, millions of votes are cast but never counted in every election – and most of them are Democratic as well. The good news is that proliferation of electronic voting has reduced the uncounted vote rate. The bad news is that votes can be switched, stuffed or dropped at the voting machine and/or the central tabulator where they are counted.
Since 2000, LV poll projections have closely matched recorded vote shares and final exit polls (which are forced to match the recorded vote). The RV poll projections closely matched the unadjusted and preliminary exit polls. In the weeks prior to the election, the MSM phases out RV polls and replaces them with LV polls that lowball Democratic shares. In so doing, they lay the foundation for matching their final predictions to a fraudulent recorded vote-count.
In the Senate RV&LV model, the Democrats lead by 46.7-42.5 in 14 RV polls, while the GOP leads by 51.1-39.0 in 23 LV polls.
In the House, the GOP leads by 46.1-43.9 in the latest 10 RV polls and by 47.0-40.0 in the latest 10 LV polls.
In the Senate, the GOP projected 4.4% LV margin was a 4.8% increase over the -0.4% RV.
In the House, the GOP projected 7.0% LV margin was a 4.8% increased over the 2.2% RV.
The full analysis:
http://richardcharnin.com/2010ElectionForecastModels.htm