PA Too Close to Call

Posted by TomCat at 1:39 am Politics

May 162010

This should be quite interesting.

The two men vying for the Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nomination enter the last weekend of the race locked in a dead heat according to the latest tracking poll released by Muhlenberg College. The latest results of the poll, taken between May 11-14: Sen. Arlen Specter 44, Rep. Joe Sestak 43.

The poll, which has tracked 400 likely voters since Apr. 28 and has a margin of error of 5%, has fluctuated in the homestretch of the primary, alternately showing Sestak or Specter ahead by as much as 5 points. Overall, however, the poll has shown the race to be too close to call. Though Sestak has had all the momentum in the closing weeks, the Muhlenberg poll suggests he has not achieved a big enough lead to write off a Specter win by any means.

The TPM Poll Average for the primary, which includes the new Muhlenberg poll, shows Sestak ahead by a margin of 44.5-43.1…

Inserted from <TPM>

Despite polls to the contrary, I think Specter has an better chance to defeat Teabag Toomey than Sestak. Polls on the general, before the primary, are seldom accurate. Nevertheless, were I a Pennsylvanian, I would vote for Sestak, because he is more likely to support progressive positions. However, if Specter wins, I shall support him over Toomey.

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